FC Grenchen vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1986 |
VEV
3 - 0
FCG
78%
13%
9%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCG
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
FCG
1 - 1
SIO
16%
23%
62%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
FCA
6 - 2
FCG
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
FCG
1 - 0
FCW
36%
29%
35%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1986 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCL
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
FCW
2 - 1
BAD
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
BAD
0 - 2
NEX
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
5 - 0
BAD
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BAD
2 - 2
LAU
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |