FC Gossau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gossau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCG
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LOC
3 - 4
FCG
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
FCG
1 - 0
YOB
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FCG
0 - 3
SER
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
FCG
1 - 3
BIE
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LUG
3 - 1
THU
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 0
YVE
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
STG
2 - 1
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 0
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
STA
0 - 2
LUG
24%
24%
53%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |