Goa vs Mohun Bagan SG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
2º
46
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 44 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 18 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 16 |
13º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
3% | 96.5% |
|
Next round
|
58.5% | 3% |
|
Play-offs
|
38.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 2
GOA
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
HYD
0 - 2
GOA
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
KER
0 - 1
GOA
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
GOA
2 - 1
MIN
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GOA
3 - 0
BEN
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MBS
3 - 2
KER
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 2
MBS
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MBS
1 - 0
CHE
59%
21%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MBS
3 - 0
JAM
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 1
MBS
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |