Goa vs Punjab FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
3º
23
2º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 50 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 43 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 38 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 23 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 18 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 16 |
13º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
43% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
50% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 84% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GOA
3 - 0
BEN
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 2
GOA
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GOA
1 - 2
MUM
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
GOA
3 - 3
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 3
GOA
34%
25%
42%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Punjab FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
MIN
3 - 2
CHE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
MIN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
HYD
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 1
DEL
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KER
1 - 2
MIN
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |