Goa vs Chennaiyin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
7º
3º
27
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
JAM
2 - 3
GOA
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GOA
4 - 0
HYD
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
GOA
2 - 1
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
MIN
3 - 3
GOA
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
GOA
1 - 0
EAS
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chennaiyin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 1
JAM
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MBS
2 - 3
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
HYD
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 1
DEL
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |