Gland vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
0.7%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
0.4%
2-1
0.2%
3-2
<0%
+1
0.6%
3.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
3.2%
95.7%
Win probability
4.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
14.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.1%
0-4
14.6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
18.4%
0-5
11.9%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.2%
-5
14.5%
0-6
8.1%
1-7
1.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
9.6%
0-7
4.7%
1-8
0.7%
2-9
0%
-7
5.5%
0-8
2.4%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
2.8%
0-9
1.1%
1-10
0.1%
-9
1.2%
0-10
0.5%
-10
0.5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 3
OLP
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 3
YOB
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
OLP
4 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCL
4 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |