Gera 03 vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gera 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
GER
49%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GER
0 - 0
MEU
42%
25%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GER
4 - 1
GER
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GER
1 - 2
BDR
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAG
0 - 2
GER
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MEU
3 - 2
ERZ
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 0
GER
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BDR
0 - 0
ERZ
41%
26%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |