Gera 03 vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gera 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
GER
3 - 1
BUD
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ERZ
0 - 3
GER
47%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
GER
2 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MEU
4 - 0
GER
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GER
0 - 4
GER
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
EIL
0 - 0
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
EIL
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
EIL
0 - 0
MEU
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GER
1 - 1
EIL
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
EIL
1 - 3
BDR
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |