Gambarogno - Contone vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
11º
6º
27
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambarogno - Contone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
BRU
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
FCC
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 5
KRI
5%
10%
85%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 1
EMM
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TAV
2 - 3
FCC
69%
18%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
HER
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
ZUG
28%
24%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 4
HER
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
NOV
65%
19%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |