Freyming vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.2%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
89.8%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20%
0-4
11.3%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
15.5%
0-5
7.6%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.9%
0-6
4.2%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.3%
0-7
2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.5%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
STL
2 - 2
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
ROD
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
BAS
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
CLE
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |