Fratria vs Lokomotiv Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
5º
2º
11
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fratria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FSV
0 - 1
FCF
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCF
1 - 1
CMV
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCF
5 - 2
SVE
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 5
FCF
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
KUB
0 - 5
FCF
9%
15%
75%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
UST
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 4
DOR
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 1
LOR
94%
5%
1%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
FKR
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BIS
7 - 0
LOR
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |