FC Francavilla 1931 vs Ugento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2057%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
17º
16º
22
9º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 69 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 64 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 41 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 26 |
17º
|
45% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Francavilla 1931
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAR
0 - 0
FCF
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCF
0 - 4
ACC
38%
26%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NOC
0 - 0
FCF
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCF
0 - 1
FRA
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 0
FCF
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ugento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UGE
1 - 0
SSM
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 1
UGE
28%
21%
50%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UGE
0 - 1
NAR
16%
22%
62%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UGE
0 - 0
ACC
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | +4 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NOC
1 - 0
UGE
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | -1 |