FC Felgueiras vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 1
FEL
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
2 - 1
FEL
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 0
NAV
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 1
AVE
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CHA
5 - 0
FEL
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |