Fayzkand vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fayzkand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
4 - 0
FCF
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
FCF
2 - 0
CSK
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
FCF
2 - 0
VAK
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
VAK
0 - 3
FCF
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCF
1 - 1
KHU
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
IST
5 - 0
REG
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
IST
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
FKE
0 - 3
IST
38%
22%
41%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
IST
5 - 0
FKE
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
IST
1 - 2
RAV
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |