Tartu Ülikool Fauna vs Kaitseliit Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaitseliit Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2012 |
TKA
1 - 1
KAI
58%
21%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
KAI
3 - 6
AJA
46%
20%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -3 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MCT
0 - 10
KAI
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +3 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
KAI
7 - 2
ALK
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
KAI
3 - 1
VEL
66%
17%
17%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |