UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
FC Farul Constanta vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Farul Constanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
FAR
2 - 0
POB
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
POB
2 - 2
FAR
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
CLU
3 - 0
FAR
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
FAR
0 - 1
GAL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 1
LPL
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
LPL
1 - 2
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
LOV
3 - 1
LPL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
LPL
0 - 0
BOT
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
VIH
1 - 1
LPL
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |