UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 2-4
FC Farul Constanta vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Farul Constanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
AUX
4 - 1
FAR
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
LPL
1 - 1
FAR
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
FAR
2 - 1
LPL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
FAR
2 - 0
POB
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
POB
2 - 2
FAR
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
AUX
4 - 1
FAR
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
AUX
4 - 0
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 3
AUX
30%
29%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
AUX
1 - 2
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NAN
3 - 2
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |