FC Falke vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Falke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
FEU
1 - 3
FCF
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
FCF
2 - 0
BAY
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
NEU
0 - 2
FCF
53%
24%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
FCF
1 - 3
AUG
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
UNT
1 - 1
FCF
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
ING
1 - 0
NEU
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
AUG
2 - 0
ING
32%
25%
44%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
ING
1 - 1
UNT
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
SCS
1 - 0
ING
22%
24%
55%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
ING
1 - 1
MEM
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |