Viareggio vs Pianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MPO
1 - 0
FCV
19%
25%
56%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
GAV
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JMO
2 - 1
FCV
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
2 - 2
VFC
80%
15%
6%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 2
FCV
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 3
ACS
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ASG
1 - 1
PIA
77%
16%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
GHI
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
USP
1 - 1
PIA
46%
26%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
MAS
32%
25%
44%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |