Viareggio vs Massese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ASA
4 - 2
FCV
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FCV
3 - 0
LIG
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SDT
2 - 3
FCV
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FCV
3 - 0
GHI
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
FCV
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Massese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MPO
2 - 1
MAS
31%
28%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAS
1 - 0
FBC
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAV
1 - 1
MAS
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
URI
2 - 3
MAS
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAS
0 - 0
LIG
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |