Viareggio vs Massese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 1
FCV
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
FCV
20%
25%
56%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 1
VMO
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
4 - 0
FCV
23%
25%
51%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Massese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 1
SSD
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ASG
4 - 2
MAS
77%
16%
8%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAS
1 - 1
FOL
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
USP
1 - 0
MAS
54%
24%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 1
ACS
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |