Viareggio vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 3
PIS
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACP
3 - 0
FCV
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FCV
2 - 2
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 1
FCV
24%
28%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 1
FCV
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 0
SOR
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
FRO
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LAT
1 - 0
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
NOC
24%
27%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |