Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 6-8
FC Espanya vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Espanya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
3 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
69%
|
13 | 83 | 70 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1917 |
RMA
4 - 1
FEB
94%
5%
2%
|
13 | 83 | 70 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1914 |
ATH
2 - 1
FEB
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 83 | 70 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1914 |
SGE
1 - 1
FEB
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1914 |
FEB
1 - 0
SGE
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
3 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
69%
|
83 | 13 | 70 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1917 |
RMA
4 - 1
FEB
94%
5%
2%
|
83 | 13 | 70 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1917 |
SEV
0 - 4
RMA
53%
22%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1917 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1917 |
RMA
8 - 1
SEV
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |