Escholzmatt-Marbach vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
82%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.2%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
RAP
2 - 1
BAV
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BAV
1 - 1
BRE
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
YFJ
3 - 3
BAV
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
LAC
0 - 3
BAV
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
BAV
0 - 0
SCB
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |