Erzgebirge Aue vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MAG
0 - 3
ERZ
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
ERZ
4 - 0
HAL
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HOL
3 - 0
ERZ
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 0
MAI
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
COT
0 - 0
ERZ
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WER
2 - 0
HAL
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAI
2 - 2
WER
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WER
0 - 1
ERF
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WUR
1 - 1
WER
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
WER
0 - 1
STU
55%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |