Erzgebirge Aue vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
PAD
0 - 1
ERZ
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
OSN
4 - 1
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
ERZ
2 - 0
BAY
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
DIE
2 - 3
ERZ
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
F95
3 - 0
ERZ
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
WER
1 - 3
BOR
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
WER
2 - 2
HOL
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
HAM
2 - 3
WER
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
WER
1 - 0
VER
48%
24%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
WER
3 - 3
VER
48%
24%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |