Erzgebirge Aue vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
FCU
1 - 2
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 0
LUN
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
LUB
1 - 2
ERZ
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
ERZ
0 - 3
HSV
15%
21%
65%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
ERZ
0 - 1
KFC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
WAT
1 - 0
SAC
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
TEN
3 - 2
WAT
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
WAT
1 - 2
EBT
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
FCU
3 - 0
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
WAT
2 - 1
LUN
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |