Erzgebirge Aue vs Wacker Nordhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 2
SGD
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
HZE
1 - 1
ERZ
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
ERZ
2 - 3
BFC
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
SAC
1 - 1
ERZ
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
OPT
0 - 1
ERZ
37%
28%
36%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wacker Nordhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
FSV
1 - 1
WAC
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
WAC
2 - 1
STA
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
SSV
3 - 1
WAC
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
WAC
2 - 0
LAS
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
WAC
2 - 2
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |