Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
ERZ
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ERZ
6 - 0
PAD
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
WEH
3 - 0
ERZ
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
ERZ
3 - 1
OFC
43%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
SGF
2 - 0
ERZ
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
OSN
0 - 3
HOF
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
OSN
2 - 2
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PAD
1 - 3
OSN
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
OSN
0 - 2
WEH
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
SCF
1 - 1
OSN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |