Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
ROT
1 - 0
ERZ
52%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 0
BAY
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
WAT
2 - 1
ERZ
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 2
F95
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
EBT
3 - 0
ERZ
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
VER
1 - 1
EBT
48%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
HOL
1 - 0
VER
30%
25%
44%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
VER
2 - 1
PRE
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VER
1 - 3
WER
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
PAD
2 - 3
VER
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |