Erzgebirge Aue vs Stuttgart II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
WUP
0 - 2
ERZ
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ERZ
0 - 1
HEI
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SGD
3 - 0
ERZ
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ERZ
0 - 0
CZJ
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
UNT
2 - 2
ERZ
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
STU
2 - 4
BAY
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SVS
2 - 1
STU
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
STU
3 - 0
WEH
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
STU
2 - 3
SSV
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
WUP
0 - 3
STU
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |