Erzgebirge Aue vs Stahl Eisenhüttenstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
FCU
1 - 1
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ERZ
1 - 2
CZJ
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BAB
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
LAS
2 - 1
ERZ
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ERZ
3 - 0
PLA
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Stahl Eisenhüttenstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
STA
2 - 1
LAS
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
PLA
2 - 5
STA
55%
23%
21%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
STA
1 - 0
SAC
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
SGD
1 - 1
STA
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
STA
1 - 2
VFL
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |