Erzgebirge Aue vs Stahl Eisenhüttenstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
SSV
0 - 0
ERZ
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
ERZ
4 - 2
LAS
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FSV
3 - 0
ERZ
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
ERZ
0 - 1
TEN
35%
26%
38%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stahl Eisenhüttenstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
ERF
2 - 0
STA
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
STA
1 - 0
SSV
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
BFC
5 - 0
STA
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
LAS
1 - 0
STA
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
BIS
0 - 0
STA
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |