Erzgebirge Aue vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
CZJ
3 - 2
ERZ
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
ERZ
0 - 2
EBT
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ERZ
1 - 1
MUN
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
TUS
2 - 2
ERZ
44%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
ERZ
5 - 0
CZJ
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
M05
5 - 1
STP
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
STP
0 - 2
AAA
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
KAI
2 - 0
STP
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
STP
4 - 2
ERZ
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
AUG
1 - 0
STP
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |