Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1996 |
SAC
0 - 1
ERZ
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 0
CHE
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1996 |
ERF
1 - 1
ERZ
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
ERZ
6 - 0
STA
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
SSV
0 - 0
ERZ
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
SGD
2 - 0
LAS
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
BFC
2 - 0
SGD
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1996 |
SSV
0 - 2
SGD
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1996 |
SGD
0 - 1
LAS
69%
20%
10%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
FSV
0 - 2
SGD
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |