Erzgebirge Aue vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
STP
2 - 2
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SGD
5 - 0
ERZ
51%
23%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 3
FCN
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SGD
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
4 - 0
ERZ
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
S04
1 - 1
HOL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
S04
1 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HSV
1 - 1
S04
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
S04
4 - 1
FCN
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
STP
2 - 1
S04
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |