Erzgebirge Aue vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
STA
3 - 1
ERZ
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
ERZ
2 - 2
SSV
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
ERZ
0 - 1
BFC
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
ERF
0 - 0
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
ERZ
0 - 0
TEN
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
SAC
1 - 1
ERF
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1998 |
LAS
3 - 1
SAC
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
SAC
1 - 0
DRE
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1998 |
PLA
3 - 3
SAC
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
SGD
1 - 1
SAC
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |