Erzgebirge Aue vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1997 |
FCU
0 - 1
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
ERZ
4 - 1
HZE
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
TEN
0 - 1
ERZ
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
ERZ
5 - 0
FSV
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
REI
0 - 2
ERZ
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
FCU
4 - 2
SAC
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
TEN
4 - 0
SAC
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
SAC
2 - 0
FSV
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1997 |
SAC
1 - 1
LAS
62%
21%
16%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1997 |
REI
1 - 0
SAC
37%
27%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |