Erzgebirge Aue vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
REI
0 - 0
ERZ
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1994 |
TEN
1 - 0
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1994 |
ERZ
2 - 1
STA
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
BIS
2 - 2
ERZ
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
ERZ
3 - 2
OPT
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
SAC
1 - 1
FCU
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
SAC
0 - 0
CZJ
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
COT
0 - 3
SAC
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
SAC
2 - 0
BFC
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1994 |
LAS
1 - 2
SAC
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |