Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2007 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ERZ
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
ERZ
0 - 1
KOL
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
AUG
3 - 0
ERZ
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ERZ
2 - 1
OFC
50%
26%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
EBT
1 - 0
ERZ
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ROT
1 - 1
UNT
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
TUS
0 - 1
ROT
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ROT
0 - 2
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
KSC
1 - 3
ROT
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PAD
3 - 2
ROT
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |