Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
DRE
0 - 2
ERZ
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 0
WSV
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
HER
2 - 0
ERZ
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
STA
0 - 4
ERZ
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 0
ERF
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
ROT
3 - 1
SAC
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2000 |
TEN
2 - 0
ROT
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
ROT
3 - 0
F95
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +3 |
| 22 May. 2000 |
BOC
2 - 0
ROT
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ROT
2 - 0
BOR
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |