Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
SAA
2 - 1
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ERZ
4 - 1
SGD
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 0
ERZ
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 0
KSC
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
EIN
2 - 0
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ROT
3 - 1
UNT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
RWA
0 - 1
ROT
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
SGF
28%
26%
47%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
MUN
5 - 1
ROT
65%
20%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |