Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
SAC
2 - 0
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
ERZ
1 - 0
FCU
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1997 |
MAG
1 - 2
ERZ
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
ERZ
0 - 0
BFC
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
SGD
1 - 3
ERZ
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
ERF
5 - 2
HAN
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
REI
2 - 2
ERF
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1997 |
ERF
1 - 0
WAC
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
LAS
2 - 3
ERF
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
ERF
1 - 0
CHE
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |