Erzgebirge Aue vs VFC Plauen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1997 |
SCC
1 - 2
ERZ
27%
30%
44%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ERZ
2 - 1
LAS
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
BFC
0 - 1
ERZ
40%
28%
31%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
ERZ
1 - 5
WAC
78%
14%
7%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1997 |
PLA
0 - 0
ERZ
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1997 |
PLA
4 - 2
SSV
61%
21%
17%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
SGD
1 - 0
PLA
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
PLA
1 - 4
SAC
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
CHE
0 - 0
PLA
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1997 |
PLA
0 - 0
ERZ
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |