Erzgebirge Aue vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 3
ERZ
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ERZ
3 - 0
OSN
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
STU
1 - 2
ERZ
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ERF
0 - 0
ERZ
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
SSV
2 - 1
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
HOL
2 - 2
BAY
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SVS
1 - 1
HOL
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 1
WEH
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
STU
1 - 0
HOL
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 1
WUP
45%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |