Erzgebirge Aue vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MSV
2 - 1
ERZ
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ERZ
1 - 1
EBT
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
KAI
4 - 1
ERZ
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
M05
2 - 0
ERZ
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ERZ
6 - 1
RTV
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
STP
55%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
SVS
1 - 6
HER
17%
24%
60%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
ING
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EBT
1 - 1
HER
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
RTV
0 - 2
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |