Erzgebirge Aue vs Hertha BSC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
REI
4 - 0
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1996 |
ERZ
0 - 0
BIS
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
FCU
0 - 0
ERZ
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
ERZ
2 - 0
WAC
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 2
SGD
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
HER
1 - 2
ERF
46%
26%
29%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
HER
4 - 1
STA
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
BIS
0 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1996 |
SSV
2 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
HER
3 - 1
LAS
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |