Erzgebirge Aue vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
KAI
3 - 0
ERZ
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 2
FCU
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
KSC
1 - 0
ERZ
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 2
EBT
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FSV
1 - 1
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 1
VFR
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
SGF
0 - 0
HEI
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
HEI
3 - 0
SVS
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
STP
0 - 3
HEI
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
HEI
1 - 1
DAR
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |