Erzgebirge Aue vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 2
RTV
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
STP
2 - 1
ERZ
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 0
KSC
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2020 |
HEI
3 - 0
ERZ
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 3
DAR
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
HAN
4 - 0
STP
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
DAR
3 - 2
HAN
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
HAN
2 - 1
HEI
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2020 |
HAN
3 - 0
SGD
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
SVS
3 - 1
HAN
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |