Erzgebirge Aue vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
ERZ
0 - 1
KFC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
VER
0 - 1
ERZ
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 0
ROT
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
DRE
0 - 2
ERZ
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 0
WSV
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
HSV
0 - 0
BIF
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
HER
4 - 0
HSV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
HSV
2 - 2
MUN
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2000 |
BIF
0 - 2
HSV
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2000 |
HSV
1 - 3
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |